Real Slovenia: Prices of Real Estate in Ljubljana. The Great Rise and… Fall?
11/06/2007
Luxury apartment for sale in downtown Ljubljana – (GBD Real Estate Ltd.)
One of the most frequently asked questions regarding real estate in Ljubljana is: will the prices fall?
Ever since 1995, the market value of real estate in Slovenia have been riding a strong wave that has yet to subside. Particularly in Ljubljana and some other highly sough-after areas such as coastal properties (remember, this country only has 43,157m – yes, that’s metres, not kilometres – of coastline), prices are not low and continue to rise. Some speculate that the properties are overpriced and that the inflated bubble is bound to burst sooner or later.
If in January of 1995, one had to pay approximately €1,300/m2 for a studio or about €1,000/m2 for a 4-bedroom apartment in Ljubljana, you’d be paying almost €3,500/m2 for a studio and an average of €2,300/m2 for a 4-bedroom apartment in June 2007 (source). I need to emphasize here that these are average prices. The very top properties go for as much as €6,000/m2.
Traditionally, prices of apartments in the greater Ljubljana area have been considerably lower than in the city itself, but with the ever improving road infrastructure, the shortage of available appropriate properties, unaffordable prices and the fact that the younger population is more willing to commute than ever before, many of those employed in Slovenia’s capital have decided to stay in their original home areas or to move further from the centre to secure more space for a better quality of life. Consequently, prices in the greater Ljubljana area have seen a steady rise since 2003.
Now for the big question: Are prices inflated and will they start falling? Unfortunately, my crystall ball is in a repair shop at the moment so I can’t provide a real answer. But based on how this city is developing, how many apartments are being constructed, how Slovenia is positioning itself in the EU both on the short and on the long term I tend to agree with the assessment that architect Miran Gajšek, Head of Department for Urbanism at the Municipality of Ljubljana gave at the Investment Conference two weeks ago.
Mr. Gajšek said, and I concur, that the only potentially overpriced real estate in Ljubljana are studios of up to roughly 35 m2. Prices there might well decrease in the future. As for the other types of properties, the upward trends are bound to continue.
Real Slovenia: A series of blog posts on the subject of real estate in Slovenia, coming every Tuesday and Thursday at drfilomena.com.
pengovsky said,
November 6, 2007 @ 4:58 pm
Call me an ignoramus, but… Who in their right mind sells that kind of a flat? I mean, I’d keep it if only to be able to look at it! 😀
An excellent post, though… And I tend to agree. Just to make one thing clear: we are talking about market prices, right? Not about those flats which are being built within municipal or national housing schemes?
Adriaan said,
November 6, 2007 @ 5:20 pm
As a casual bystander, have the prices in Ljubljana been affected by foreign investment or are they fueled by local demand? If local, how do people afford these places?
In the UK, where I live, until very recently the banks were more than happy to lend upto 6 times salary for mortgages, but I’d always understood Slovene banks to be much more conservative in their lending habits.
buba švabe said,
November 7, 2007 @ 12:46 pm
When I grow up, I’ll buy that place! 😀
crni said,
November 8, 2007 @ 2:32 am
Well, the Slovenian banks were not as indulgent as the UK and USA banks, but I have a suspicion that there were still a lot of people who took out huge loans without understanding what EURIBOR based variable interest rates mean. The other thing to keep in mind is the 80%+ real estate ownership in SLO. Together with a conservative view on selling real-estate, this really crushes the liquidity. Nobody is in a hurry to sell and not many people are able to buy.
It would be interesting to see what the average time on the market for a property is these days.
dr.filomena said,
November 8, 2007 @ 9:32 am
@pengovsky: The seller is a well-known painter/sculptor with exceptional taste and the talent for interior decoration. He is somewhat restless and keeps working on new projects. Currently a phenomenal villa that he will be moving into. Now that would have been a true dream home…
@Adriaan: Both. Will answer your questions in a post, actually.
@buba švabe: We’ll find something even nicer for you 🙂
Dr. Filomena » Real Slovenia: Who can buy real estate in this country? said,
November 8, 2007 @ 7:53 pm
[…] buy real estate in Slovenia? Perhaps the obvious answer to that question would be: anyone who can afford it. Which, to some extent is true. However, while Slovenian citizens only have the financial aspects […]
dr.filomena said,
November 12, 2007 @ 4:16 pm
@crni: Thanks for the comment and sorry about it having been quarantined by aksimet… as for the average time on the market for a property, that’s impossible to answer. It depends on the price-demand ratio and the quality of the particular property. I’ve sold a place in a week and have cases of houses on the books for over a year.
Dr. Filomena » Real Slovenia: What is Fuelling the Prices said,
November 13, 2007 @ 5:55 pm
[…] prices of real estate in Slovenia continue to rise, even in the already not-so-cheap Ljubljana, you, like Adriaan, may be wondering whether the prices have been affected by foreign investment or […]
Dr. Filomena » Real Slovenia: What is Fuelling the Prices? said,
November 15, 2007 @ 10:15 am
[…] prices of real estate in Slovenia continue to rise, even in the already not-so-cheap Ljubljana, you, like Adriaan, may be wondering whether the prices have been affected by foreign investment or […]
Dr. Filomena » Real Slovenia: Prices Keep Rising said,
February 7, 2008 @ 9:46 am
[…] predicted at this blog before, prices of real estate in Slovenia, especially Ljubljana, have continued their upward […]
petr zapotocky said,
February 15, 2008 @ 10:41 am
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