Real Slovenia: What is Fuelling the Prices?
11/15/2007
Some of the planned real estate development in Ljubljana as presented at the Ljubljana Townhouse
As prices of real estate in Slovenia continue to rise, even in the already not-so-cheap Ljubljana, you, like Adriaan, may be wondering whether the prices have been affected by foreign investment or are they fuelled by local demand and how people can afford these places.
In Ljubljana, the rising prices have traditionally been fuelled predominantly by local (Slovenian, that is) demand as to us, Ljubljana natives, it sometimes seems as if the entire rest of the country wanted to move here.
Since joining the EU along with major Eastern European countries in May 2004, Slovenia has consistently stayed a step ahead of the other “new kids from the bloc” by being the only new entrant so far to join the Eurozone, having been admitted on 1 January 2007 and by becoming the first of the newbie countries to hold the Presidency of the European Union scheduled for the first half of 2008.
With Slovenian business traditionally firmly embedded in the international environment and for example just the export to the 25 EU members in 2006 reaching 69% of the country’s GDP with the total export gaining 17% in the first nine months of this year compared to 2006, and considering an almost equal flow in the opposite direction, an increasing number of foreign businesses are seeking facilities in the country and their employees renting or buying real estate as well.
On the other hand, growing exposure of the country in foreign media, interesting travel packages and low budget airlines are bringing in many visiting tourists who fall in love with the country and decide to purchase a dream home away from home, which considering the continuously rising prices, also makes for an attractive investment.
Sky’s the limit in the country whose member on the EU Commission Janez Potočnik (Commissioner for Science and Research) visits an astronomical observatory and identifies and names his very own galaxy in passing.
Propertastic.com advises: If you are an ultra-cautious investor who is likely to lie awake at night sweating even if there is the teeniest-tiniest element of risk to your investment, then perhaps Slovenia is the right country for you to be putting your money into.
If you do, you will not be alone. Slovenia was tipped by Channel 4’s ‘A Place in the Sun’ programme as the 8th best place to invest over the next 10 years, with predicted increases of 250% over that period. Knight Frank are similarly bullish about Slovenia, putting it in their joint number two position along with Latvia for 2007 with a predicted growth of 17.5%.
To conclude, it is both local demand that the supply has not been able to meet the demand and foreign investments that keep the prices on the rise. Perhaps the most notable difference between the two factors being the territorial factor. Whereas local demand pushes the prices up primarily in the large city areas (close to workplaces) and the posh touristic places, foreign investors are quite likely to go for the cheap properties in regions not interesting to Slovenians as places of permanent residence due to their remoteness and absence of available jobs and other infrastructure.
This brings us to another real issue: How does one handle all the local and imported real estate fuel and finances the purchase of real estate in Slovenia?
Ideally, you have money readily available and pay in cash you pull from under the pillow (do share which Starwood hotel you usually stay at when at a European city served by a low budget airline from Ljubljana). If not, several types of loans are available.
In Slovenia, you can choose between regular loans secured by insurance, guarantor or the property itself (mortgage), financial products that combine loans with life insurance or investment in mutual funds, or so-called leasing.
The information I found on the net in English, claiming that the loan-to-value mortgages only goes as high as 50%, is out of date as the market has become far more flexible than that although thankfully not going into the sub-prime mortgage area quite as yet. So next in the series coming from this couch will be: details on the types of available financing.
pengovsky said,
November 15, 2007 @ 1:20 pm
So you’re saying that foreign investments fuel the real-estate prices?
Adriaan said,
November 15, 2007 @ 1:33 pm
Dr. Fil,
Another fine article up to your usual standard.
If I may correct one thing (at the risk of being called a pedant), Slovenia was deemed the 8th best country in which to invest, by the “place in the Sun” programme, although with the benefit of a hindsight it ought to have been ranked higher!
dr.filomena said,
November 15, 2007 @ 1:45 pm
@P: I just supplemented the post… doing too many things at the same time. The Angel and the Devil will be doing our new website, though
@Adriaan: Thanks for the heads up! I should have double-checked the data… will go edit now.
pengovsky said,
November 15, 2007 @ 2:00 pm
OK, I get it now 🙂
crni said,
November 19, 2007 @ 7:00 pm
So what’s really fueling the prices is short supply?
dr.filomena said,
November 19, 2007 @ 7:24 pm
@crni: I do believe so. Along with – as you noted already – the proverbial inflexibility of spoilt Slovenians when it comes to what is an acceptable commute. Things are bound to change, though. Not as far as prices go, but I anticipate two things:
1) people willing to live further away from work;
2) people accepting rental as an acceptable/possibly preferable type of accomodation.
Car Hire Ljubljana said,
November 21, 2007 @ 11:42 am
Ljubljana’s real estate prices will hardly drop. Maybe they will finally stabilize, but as long there is constant influx of people wanting to live in Ljubljana there will also be a constant pressure from investors and resellers. Also: the habits are changing slow, real slow. Most of people want to own the apartment/house. Good for the banks, good for the market, bad for the rest of us. Because the rent is directly connected to the price of the real estate.
Dr. Filomena » Real Slovenia: Financing property purchase said,
November 21, 2007 @ 5:04 pm
[…] the subject of real estate in Slovenia we arrived at the question of: How does one handle all the local and imported real estate fuel and finances the purchase of real estate in […]
Global Voices Online » Slovenia: Real Estate said,
November 24, 2007 @ 12:08 am
[…] Filomena offers comprehensive analysis of Slovenia's real estate market – here and here. Share […]